How many years has the PC replaced (published in 2021)?

The number of replacements of the PC that gradually extends

It is a PC that has been very useful as a window to the Internet that has done various calculation processing, but has recently been deprived of its position by smartphones.At the moment, how many years has the PC replaced?Check from the results of the Cabinet Office consumption trend survey ( *).

First, a graph of a change in the replacement of a personal computer in two or more people with long -term time series data, and confirms the current situation.The personal computer in this case is both desktop PC and laptop computer.Tablet -type terminals that were once equated are not eligible.

Although there is some blur, the number of years of replacement of personal computers tends to increase, as can be seen from the trends of the auxiliary lines due to the red dashed line.On average, the average old data is 4 in the three years starting in 2002.About two years, the average 7 years from 2019 to 2021, which reached the latest 2021..About 0 years.It will be a calculation that has been extended for nearly three years.It seems that the motivation for replacement, such as "replacement of the OS because it is troublesome to replace the OS because it is troublesome to replace the OS" due to the high performance of the PC itself, and the extension of the OS support period has decreased.

Only in 2014, there are almost two major replacement factors, such as rushing demand due to the revision of the consumption tax rate from April 2014, and replacement of PC itself from the need for OS replacement due to the end of Windows XP support.It has occurred.These factors were expected to have an atmosphere in trying to buy a PC that could maintain a PC that could maintain several years ahead of the past, and the number of years of replacement would be shorter.But at least such a situation has not occurred on the years.In 2017, Windows Vista's support ended on April 11 of the same year, but there was no shortening of the number of years due to a forward replacement in the same way.

It is considered that the most recent 2021 had the opportunity to replace PCs due to the promotion of work from home due to the new colon virus trends.Some would have been thinking about updating the computer that had been thinking for a long time.0 compared to the previous year.The shortening of three years may have been affected.

The next graph is to make it easier to compare trends by household type, including trends in single households.

In general, single households have a shorter replacement.There is a difference of about a year.This indicates the fact that the personal computer life cycle used by single households is short.

On the other hand, from 2013 to 2014, the gap between the two households was steadily shrinking, and strictly, the number of years to buy a single household has been extended, and in 2016, it has finally been lined up.Even after 2017, the difference between the two households has not occurred so much.It may be possible to see that the difference between the types of both households has actually disappeared.

For the reason for the replacement of the rush demand

The following is the result of the replacement reason.

In the type of both households, the number of “top -ranking” is decreasing year by year, and the “failure” increases.This is not because the PC is likely to break down, but the answer rate has increased relatively because the number of "top -ranking" answers decreased.Due to the high performance of personal computers and the extension of the OS support period, the need for replacement for higher -end models has decreased.Windows3.There is no atmosphere like "if you do not replace the personal computer itself and implement it, you will miss the times" as if it was shifted from 1 to 95.

Nevertheless, two or more households have been declining, and they have rebounded several times, but in single households, the ratio of "high -ranking" has been declined almost since 2010.It is highly likely that the need to replace the PC itself is less (judged to be), regardless of the spouse's support.There is a decrease in the number of cases where the new OS has come out, but it is a good opportunity to buy a new computer and create an environment. "

In 2014, the number of reasons according to the above explanation, the consumption tax rate revision, and the rush demand special demand on Windows XP, which ended support on April 9, 2014, has increased the number of "Others".These are simply "before the consumption tax rate is paid, so you buy a new one because it is a long time" "XP is out of support, it is troublesome to replace the OS, and it is an old computer, so it is a good opportunity to buy a new one."It is thought to be an answer.

The fact that "Others" are increasing significantly in the 2019 single households is not a pioneer replacement following the end of the Windows7 support mentioned above, but is more likely to be a statistical fluctuation.Or maybe he decided to buy a new electronic money campaign.

In 2020, both single -person households and two or more households had a percentage of "others" exceeding 40 %, indicating the maximum ever.The reason for replacement is the biggest thing.As mentioned above, since Windows7 ended extended support on January 14, 2020, it is thought that it is due to the motivation to replace the whole body if the OS is replaced.In addition, before the increase in the consumption tax rate from October 2019, there may be a demand for replacement of PCs.Needless to say, these reasons are neither a "top -priced" nor a "failure" nor a "address change".

On the other hand, in 2021, the percentage of "top -ranking" for both single households and two or more households has shown a significant increase.This is considered to be a result of a number of patterns of replacement due to the increase in the performance of home personal computers due to the increase in the number of home -working opportunities due to the new colon virus epidemic.

As described in the first graph, in the PC industry, high -performance and highly replacement new technologies and OSs are not appearing, and the replacement cycle tends to gradually extend.Every time a new version appears on the Windows OS, a large -scale event will be held in Akihabara, Tokyo, and there will be no fuss for TV stations.

With the further spread of smartphones and tablet -type terminals in the future, PC weights may decrease, and the number of replacement years may be increasingly accelerated.At least the case of "the need to buy a new one because the upper item has appeared" must be further reduced.

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* Consumption trend survey of the Cabinet Office

A survey aimed at obtaining basic materials for economic trends by grasping the status of consumer awareness of future life -oriented prospects, plans to expand to various services, and holding the status of mainly durable consumer goods.。The investigative households are 8,400 households selected by three or more households and three -stage extraction (municipalities, survey units, households) for each single household.The survey is once a month, and the survey is 15th every month.The survey form will be mailed to the households subject to the survey around the 10th of each month, and the survey cards arrived by around the 20th of each month will be aggregated.Since October 2018, we have introduced mailing and online use survey methods.

The survey is conducted every month, but once a year and in March, we are investigating the details over other months.One of the items in it is "replacement status of major endurance consumer goods" in the scrutiny.This is the result of asking "If you replaced the target item in the year of the answer year (in this case, April 2020 to March 2021), how long did you use the product before the replacement?"In other words, the "number of years to buy" will be shown for the latest replacement carriers.If you purchase a new one or if the replacement is not the time of the relevant period, you will not be able to join the answer.

(Note) The graphs and charts in the text are created by the author based on quotes or materials described as long as there are no special notes.

(Note) The photos in the text are based on the documents described in the text, and are taken by the author based on the materials described in the text, or taken by the author.

(Note) Articles The numbers used in the title, text, graphs, etc. may be described after exclusive decimal girders, so that they are the optimal display on the spot.Therefore, the total value of the displayed numbers may not match completely.

(Note) If the value of the graph is adjusted to make it easier to see the movement of the graph, the value of the graph axis is not zero, the value may be enclosed in a circle to catch the attention.。

(Note) In the graph, the notation of items (such as sending kana) may be abbreviated or changed to adjust the appearance.In addition, "~" may be described as "-".

(Note) "PPT" in the graph means a % point.

(Note) "(Large) Earthquake" means the Great East Japan Earthquake unless there are special or detailed notation.

(Note) This article is partially added and changed to the article published in [Gerbage News].